Joe Taylor Real Estate Agent Cabo San Lucas

Cabo property price forecast — the data:
Recent performance:
📊 2025 calendar year: +6% to +9%
📊 Prime condos: +8% to +10%
📊 Standout: Puerto Los Cabos sub-enclaves up +95% over 5 years
2026 forecast: 4%–7% central case (range 0%–11%)
5-year forecast: 25%–40% cumulative (4%–6% annual average)
10-year forecast: 30%–60% cumulative (3%–5% annual average)
What drives Cabo specifically:
🌎 Limited supply (coastal zoning, master-planned scarcity)
🇺🇸 70%+ of luxury buyers are US/Canadian — directly tied to N. American economy
💰 Banxico rate cycle (currently 7%, easing) supports developer financing
✈️ Tourism positioned as luxury, fewer macro risks than mid-market beach markets
Cabo isn't going to deliver crypto returns. But 5-year math (25%–40% appreciation + 3%–5% net rental yield + dramatically lower property taxes than US) is competitive with most US markets — with a lifestyle most US markets can't match.
📞 (916) 756-9145